Lottery is Not Just a Game of Chance
Lottery is an arrangement in which prizes are allocated by a process that relies on chance. Almost every state has held a lottery and, as a matter of policy, most have kept the arrangement in place. Lottery critics have often focused on particular aspects of the operation, including its tendency to generate enormous jackpots that attract attention and increase ticket sales, the potential for compulsive gambling among players, and its regressive impact on low-income people.
These criticisms are not without merit, but they miss a larger point: Lottery is not just a game of chance. It is a socially engineered enterprise that seeks to sell the dream of wealth to people with very, very little to start with. Lottery odds are small compared to those of other games, and when those odds are incomprehensible they create a conceptual vacuum that makes it easy for people to engage in magical thinking or superstition, to play a hunch, or to throw rational reasoning out the window altogether.
Moreover, the large prize pools that attract attention and boost ticket sales obscure how much the lottery really costs people in terms of opportunity cost—the amount they lose by spending their money on tickets instead of investing it or paying down debt. It’s a very real cost that can add up to a substantial sum over the course of working life. That, in turn, raises the question whether it’s a reasonable function for the state to promote an arrangement that encourages irrational spending.